Module 10 · Lesson 4 of 12 · Fundamentals and macro · About 5 minutes

Revenue, Margins and Earnings Quality: Reading Beyond EPS

On this page
  1. What you will learn
  2. How are margins calculated?
  3. Margin diagram
  4. What does revenue growth show?
  5. What is operating leverage?
  6. What is earnings quality?
  7. What this does not tell you about margins and earnings quality
  8. Check yourself
  9. Reflect on your own process
  10. Sources

Before you read: Valuation Ratios Explained: P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S and Yield

What you will learn

How are margins calculated?

Out of every dollar a customer pays, how much does the company keep?

A margin is a profit line divided by revenue. Using the fictional company from the financial statements lesson, with $1,000 million of revenue:

Margin Calculation Result
Gross margin $400m gross profit ÷ $1,000m 40%
Operating margin $150m operating income ÷ $1,000m 15%
Net margin $100m net income ÷ $1,000m 10%

Margins differ widely by industry. Software businesses often have high gross margins because each extra copy costs little to deliver; grocers often have thin margins and rely on volume. Comparing margins makes the most sense within an industry and across time for the same company.

Margin diagram

A fictional revenue bar split into costs and profit with margins marked. $1,000 million of fictional revenue split into cost of goods, operating costs, interest and taxes and net income, with 40% gross, 15% operating and 10% net margins. Illustrative diagram constructed for teaching. Not real market data.

Illustrative diagram constructed for teaching. Not real market data.

The diagram breaks $1,000 million of fictional revenue into cost of goods sold, operating expenses, interest and taxes, and net income, and marks the 40% gross, 15% operating and 10% net margins. It is constructed for teaching and is not real market data.

Try it on a chart

  1. In the income statement section, find revenue and net income.
  2. Work out the net margin: net income divided by revenue.

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What does revenue growth show?

If revenue grew 20%, where did the growth come from?

Revenue growth is usually shown year over year, comparing a quarter with the same quarter a year earlier. This reduces regular seasonal effects, but it does not remove them all: calendar shifts, such as a holiday falling in a different quarter, or an unusual quarter a year earlier can still distort the comparison. Useful details include:

  • Organic growth, a company-defined measure that usually excludes acquisitions and currency effects. Definitions vary, so check the company’s own definition and reconciliation. A company that buys a competitor can grow revenue without selling more of its own products.
  • Segment data, which splits revenue by product line or region. A fast-growing segment can hide a shrinking one.
  • Price and volume, where companies disclose them: did they sell more units, or charge more for the same units?
  • Recurring revenue, such as subscriptions, which some companies report as a separate measure. These measures are company-defined and not standardized.

What is operating leverage?

If revenue rises 10%, why can profit rise much more than 10%?

When a large part of a company’s costs are fixed, extra revenue flows through to profit at a high rate, and lost revenue hits profit just as hard. This is called operating leverage. A fictional company with $100 million of fixed costs, variable costs of 40% of revenue and $200 million of revenue earns $20 million. If revenue rises 10% to $220 million, profit rises to $32 million, a 60% increase. If revenue falls 10%, profit falls to $8 million.

What is earnings quality?

Can two companies with the same net income be in very different shape?

Earnings quality describes how closely reported profit reflects cash and repeatable business activity. Readers often look at:

  • Cash conversion. Is operating cash flow close to net income over time? Profit that rarely turns into cash deserves questions.
  • Receivables and inventory. If receivables grow much faster than revenue, the company may be booking sales it has not been paid for. Rising inventory can mean products are not selling.
  • One-off items. Gains from selling assets, restructuring charges and other items labeled non-recurring. If they recur every year, they may not be one-offs.
  • Adjusted measures. The gap between GAAP and adjusted figures. Stock-based pay is a real cost even when adjusted earnings leave it out.
  • Accounting changes. Changes in estimates, depreciation lives or revenue recognition, explained in the notes.

None of these proves that anything is wrong. They are questions to ask while reading the filing.

What this does not tell you about margins and earnings quality

  • Whether a company’s margins will hold. Competition, costs and demand change.
  • Whether any accounting choice is improper. That is a matter for auditors and regulators.
  • How a stock will move on any margin figure.
  • Nothing here recommends any company or stock.

Check yourself

  1. Revenue is $800 million and operating income is $120 million. What is the operating margin? Hint: divide.
  2. What does organic growth leave out? Hint: acquisitions and currency.
  3. Receivables grow 40% while revenue grows 5%. What question does that raise? Hint: has the company been paid for its sales?

Reflect on your own process

For your own notes; there is no score and no right answer.

  1. Which earnings-quality questions are on your own reading checklist, and where did each one come from?
  2. When a company reports an adjusted or organic figure, does your process say to find its definition and reconciliation before you record it?
  3. How do you note in your journal which margin you compared, over which periods, and against which companies?

Sources

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